It’s a nice feeling to wake up at 3:08am and see Elvis Smylie hold the 1st round lead at the Australian PGA Championship at 90-1.
But you only post winning screenshots! First of all I never win, so false, and I’m down $16,418 betting on golf since ’18, so give me one. Considering DK doesn’t allow overseas betting, it’s nice to not bet for 2 weeks and come back and hit my 4th longest odds golf bet since Sepp Straka @ 140-1, Ruoning Yin at @ 110-1 and Nick Bachem at @100-1. My longest NFL hit was a 6 team parlay at 52-1 in case you were curious.
You may ask how you lose 16k betting on golf over 6 years and I can tell you. You establish a unit. Above, my unit has devolved to $10. When I was losing oodles of money, my unit was $25. This means that when my tipster gives out picks, I put that amount of money on each pick. I can have $500-$1,000 on golfers on varying tournaments. Now, my guy uses a place system for his bets, which means he gets paid if the golfer finishes in the top 8. DK is only starting to offer less odds at top 5, but I mainly bet outrights, which is all or nothing. If none of my golfers hit for the week, I have 0 ROI. Considering I’ve lessened my bet size, and started to place the top 5 bets instead of outrights, I’m hoping to make a bit of a better showing in golf. This is a lucky start.
The $900 is nice because I’ll start to sprinkle that on some NFL futures. Not having this in Europe is funny because it’s natural for me to throw $50 bucks on a game and try to get lucky. As JC would say, “it’s a spice of life”. Now, JC lost 35k (84k in 2024) on the Denver Broncos in Super Bowl 23 so it became more of a Carolina Reaper. Look that game up if you want to be sick losing that kind of money on a game. I’ve wrote this a million times but I’ll do it once more, I don’t bet sports to win money. It’s a personal challenge in real life. I’m wagering my own money to win someone else’s money. People who can’t tell you the exact money they wager aren’t taking gambling seriously, it’s funny money where they should hand their money over.
Did I miss not betting? Yes and no. It’s clearly a time consumption of mine that is -EV. The same reason I quit playing poker, I should quit sports betting. However, it’s that test that keeps bringing me back. It’s like, if Mattison and White are out, I believe Ameer Abdullah will score a TD this week at +330. Those are huge odds that I’m willing to put my money on my belief. Now clearly I’m a loser, but I’m stacked against a 10% house edge. If I’ve wagered 286k over 6 years, does that mean I’ve handed over 28k in juice and am only down 16k? So I’m not even that bad. Some math nerd can tell me if that’s right, and there are bonuses involved too, so yadda yadda who cares. Which brings me back to continuing to justify why my gambling addiction isn’t that bad.
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